Primeira Liga · Matchweek 11

Vitória SC vs FC Porto Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 8 Nov, 18:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Vitória SC win13%
Draw21%
FC Porto win66%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
41%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
BTTS no
59%
Expected goals
0.67 – 1.88

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Vitória SC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. FC Porto have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. FC Porto's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. FC Porto arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.7%
  • 0–213.8%
  • 1–19.8%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–38.6%
  • 0–07.8%
  • 1–35.8%
  • 1–05.2%

Team comparison

StatisticVitória SCFC Porto
Matches played66
Points per match0.833.00
Goals per match0.502.67
Goals conceded per match1.000.67
Home / away goals scored29
Home / away goals conceded12
Last 5 points215
Last 5 goals scored214
Last 5 goals conceded64
Win percentage17%100%

Vitória SC recent form

LDLDL

FC Porto recent form

WWWWW

Recent form

Vitória SC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–2
  • Dvs Moreirense FC1–1
  • Lat Académico de Viseu FC1–2
  • Dvs Casa Pia AC0–0
  • Lat Sporting Clube de Braga0–1

FC Porto

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Real Betis Balompié2–3
  • Wat CS Marítimo2–1
  • Wvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica3–1
  • Wat Casa Pia AC4–1
  • Lvs Manchester City FC0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
703
1X2 accuracy
47.9%
BTTS accuracy
55.8%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.2%
Exact score
10.5%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.