Primeira Liga · Matchweek 9

CF Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia AC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CF Estrela da Amadora win53%
Draw24%
Casa Pia AC win23%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
47%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.06

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 0–16.6%
  • 0–06.2%
  • 1–26.0%
  • 3–15.6%

Team comparison

StatisticCF Estrela da AmadoraCasa Pia AC
Matches played56
Points per match1.600.67
Goals per match2.000.50
Goals conceded per match2.002.50
Home / away goals scored42
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points84
Last 5 goals scored103
Last 5 goals conceded108
Win percentage40%17%

CF Estrela da Amadora recent form

WDWDL

Casa Pia AC recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

CF Estrela da Amadora

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Académico de Viseu FC0–2
  • Dat Rio Ave FC3–3
  • Wvs Sporting Clube de Braga2–1
  • Dvs FC Famalicão2–2
  • Wat CD Nacional3–2

Casa Pia AC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat GD Estoril Praia2–1
  • Lvs FC Porto1–4
  • Dat Vitória SC0–0
  • Lvs Moreirense FC0–1
  • Lat Gil Vicente FC0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.