Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 9
Vitória SC vs CS Marítimo Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 23 Oct, 20:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Vitória SC win47%
Draw29%
CS Marítimo win25%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 64%
- BTTS yes
- 41%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 63%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 17%
- BTTS no
- 59%
- Expected goals
- 1.28 – 0.85
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Vitória SC's home attacking output as weaker than the Primeira Liga baseline. CS Marítimo have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Vitória SC's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.3%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–011.9%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–09.8%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–25.5%
- 0–24.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Vitória SC | CS Marítimo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Goals per match | 0.60 | 1.17 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 17% |
Vitória SC recent form
WLDLD
CS Marítimo recent form
DLLLD
Recent form
Vitória SC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 4 conceded
- Dvs Moreirense FC1–1
- Lat Académico de Viseu FC1–2
- Dvs Casa Pia AC0–0
- Lat Sporting Clube de Braga0–1
- Wvs CD Nacional1–0
CS Marítimo
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded
- Dat Gil Vicente FC1–1
- Lat Moreirense FC1–3
- Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–3
- Lat FC Arouca1–2
- Dvs Académico de Viseu FC2–2
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 20:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 2 October 2026
Last updated: 2 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.