Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 8
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Arouca win49%
Draw20%
CF Estrela da Amadora win31%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 77%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 23%
- BTTS yes
- 74%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 57%
- BTTS no
- 26%
- Expected goals
- 2.25 – 1.77
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour FC Arouca, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. CF Estrela da Amadora have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. CF Estrela da Amadora carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.0%
- 1–17.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.3%
- 3–16.0%
- 3–25.4%
- 2–04.5%
- 2–34.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Arouca | CF Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.70 | 0.89 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 1.44 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 22% |
FC Arouca recent form
DWWWL
CF Estrela da Amadora recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
FC Arouca
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2
- Lvs CD Santa Clara1–2
- Dat GD Estoril Praia0–0
- Wvs CS Marítimo2–1
- Lat FC Porto0–2
CF Estrela da Amadora
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Académico de Viseu FC0–2
- Dat Rio Ave FC3–3
- Wvs Sporting Clube de Braga2–1
- Dvs FC Famalicão2–2
- Wat CD Nacional3–2
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.