Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 12
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 28 Nov, 20:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Vitória SC win62%
Draw22%
CF Estrela da Amadora win17%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 77%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.93 – 0.90
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against CF Estrela da Amadora, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. Vitória SC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.4%
- 2–011.0%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–07.1%
- 3–16.4%
- 0–05.9%
- 0–15.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Vitória SC | CF Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.89 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 22% | 22% |
Vitória SC recent form
DLWDL
CF Estrela da Amadora recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
Vitória SC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded
- Lvs FC Porto1–2
- Dat Gil Vicente FC0–0
- Wvs CS Marítimo5–0
- Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–2
- Dvs Moreirense FC1–1
CF Estrela da Amadora
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica2–3
- Lat Moreirense FC1–2
- Lvs Casa Pia AC0–2
- Lat FC Arouca0–1
- Lvs Académico de Viseu FC0–2
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.