Primeira Liga · Matchweek 12

Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 30 Nov, 20:15 (GMT)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Casa Pia AC win14%
Draw24%
Sporting Clube de Braga win62%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Under 2.5 goals
61%
BTTS yes
38%
Over 1.5 goals
66%
Over 3.5 goals
19%
BTTS no
62%
Expected goals
0.63 – 1.63

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Casa Pia AC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Sporting Clube de Braga have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–117.0%
  • 0–213.9%
  • 1–110.7%
  • 0–010.4%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 0–37.6%
  • 1–06.5%
  • 1–34.8%

Team comparison

StatisticCasa Pia ACSporting Clube de Braga
Matches played1010
Points per match0.801.60
Goals per match0.601.10
Goals conceded per match1.900.90
Home / away goals scored14
Home / away goals conceded154
Last 5 points76
Last 5 goals scored56
Last 5 goals conceded56
Win percentage20%50%

Casa Pia AC recent form

WLWLD

Sporting Clube de Braga recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

Casa Pia AC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dat FC Alverca1–1
  • Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–2
  • Wat CF Estrela da Amadora2–0
  • Lvs CD Santa Clara0–1
  • Wat GD Estoril Praia2–1

Sporting Clube de Braga

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Rio Ave FC1–0
  • Wvs FC Famalicão3–0
  • Lat CD Nacional0–1
  • Lvs Gil Vicente FC1–2
  • Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Mon 30 Nov, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 9 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.