Primeira Liga
Moreirense FC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
24%
Draw
19%
Away
57%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 71%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 10
FC Porto vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:30 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Porto win83%
Draw12%
GD Estoril Praia win5%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS yes
- 40%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS no
- 60%
- Expected goals
- 2.79 – 0.56
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates FC Porto's home scoring output above the Primeira Liga average. FC Porto's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour FC Porto, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.7%
- 3–012.8%
- 1–09.8%
- 4–08.9%
- 2–17.7%
- 3–17.1%
- 1–15.5%
- 4–15.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Porto | GD Estoril Praia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 7 |
| Points per match | 3.00 | 0.14 |
| Goals per match | 2.67 | 0.43 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.67 | 1.57 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 1 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 100% | 0% |
FC Porto recent form
WWWWW
GD Estoril Praia recent form
LDLLL
Recent form
FC Porto
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat CS Marítimo2–1
- Wvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica3–1
- Wat Casa Pia AC4–1
- Lvs Manchester City FC0–2
- Wvs Moreirense FC2–1
GD Estoril Praia
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Académico de Viseu FC1–2
- Lvs Casa Pia AC1–2
- Lat Sporting Clube de Braga0–1
- Dvs FC Arouca0–0
- Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica1–2
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 570
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.8%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.7%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 57.7%
- Exact score
- 10.9%
Related predictions
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.