Primeira Liga
GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense FC
Home
31%
Draw
31%
Away
37%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 32%BTTS: 39%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 10
Moreirense FC vs CF Estrela da Amadora Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Moreirense FC win24%
Draw19%
CF Estrela da Amadora win57%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS yes
- 71%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 55%
- BTTS no
- 29%
- Expected goals
- 1.52 – 2.40
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Moreirense FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Primeira Liga baseline. CF Estrela da Amadora have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. CF Estrela da Amadora carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.7%
- 1–17.3%
- 1–37.0%
- 2–26.6%
- 0–25.7%
- 2–15.5%
- 2–35.3%
- 0–14.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Moreirense FC | CF Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 40% |
Moreirense FC recent form
LLWDL
CF Estrela da Amadora recent form
WDWDL
Recent form
Moreirense FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded
- Lvs Gil Vicente FC0–1
- Dat Vitória SC1–1
- Wvs CS Marítimo3–1
- Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–4
- Lat FC Porto1–2
CF Estrela da Amadora
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Académico de Viseu FC0–2
- Dat Rio Ave FC3–3
- Wvs Sporting Clube de Braga2–1
- Dvs FC Famalicão2–2
- Wat CD Nacional3–2
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 554
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.8%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.5%
- Exact score
- 11.0%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Rio Ave FC vs FC Famalicão
Home
17%
Draw
18%
Away
65%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 62%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.