Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 9
Rio Ave FC vs FC Famalicão Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Rio Ave FC win17%
Draw18%
FC Famalicão win65%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 1.15 – 2.38
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits FC Famalicão with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–18.0%
- 1–37.6%
- 0–17.0%
- 0–36.6%
- 2–25.5%
- 2–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Rio Ave FC | FC Famalicão |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 6 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 17% |
Rio Ave FC recent form
WLLDL
FC Famalicão recent form
LDDDW
Recent form
Rio Ave FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat FC Alverca0–1
- Dvs CF Estrela da Amadora3–3
- Lat CD Santa Clara0–4
- Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–4
- Wat GD Estoril Praia2–0
FC Famalicão
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat CD Nacional4–0
- Dvs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–1
- Dat CF Estrela da Amadora2–2
- Dvs Gil Vicente FC0–0
- Lat CD Santa Clara0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 512
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.1%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.4%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense FC
Home
29%
Draw
30%
Away
42%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 35%BTTS: 41%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga
CD Nacional vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
18%
Draw
22%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 50%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.