Primeira Liga · Matchweek 9

GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 25 Oct, 15:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

GD Estoril Praia win29%
Draw30%
Moreirense FC win42%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Under 2.5 goals
65%
BTTS yes
41%
Over 1.5 goals
62%
Over 3.5 goals
16%
BTTS no
59%
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.17

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

GD Estoril Praia have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Moreirense FC, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.5%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–012.4%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 0–28.5%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 2–16.1%
  • 2–05.2%

Team comparison

StatisticGD Estoril PraiaMoreirense FC
Matches played66
Points per match0.171.17
Goals per match0.331.00
Goals conceded per match1.502.00
Home / away goals scored13
Home / away goals conceded47
Last 5 points17
Last 5 goals scored26
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage0%33%

GD Estoril Praia recent form

LLDLL

Moreirense FC recent form

WLLWD

Recent form

GD Estoril Praia

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Casa Pia AC1–2
  • Lat Sporting Clube de Braga0–1
  • Dvs FC Arouca0–0
  • Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica1–2
  • Lvs Rio Ave FC0–2

Moreirense FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dat Vitória SC1–1
  • Wvs CS Marítimo3–1
  • Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–4
  • Lat FC Porto1–2
  • Wat Casa Pia AC1–0

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.