Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 9
CD Nacional vs Sporting Clube de Braga Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
CD Nacional win18%
Draw22%
Sporting Clube de Braga win60%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS yes
- 50%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 76%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS no
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 0.90 – 1.87
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Sporting Clube de Braga have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sporting Clube de Braga arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.7%
- 0–211.0%
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–36.8%
- 0–06.3%
- 1–36.1%
- 1–05.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | CD Nacional | Sporting Clube de Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 5 |
| Points per match | 0.57 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.14 | 0.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 10 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 0 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 13 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 60% |
CD Nacional recent form
LLLLL
Sporting Clube de Braga recent form
WWLWD
Recent form
CD Nacional
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs FC Famalicão0–4
- Lvs FC Alverca1–3
- Lat Sporting Clube de Portugal0–2
- Lvs CF Estrela da Amadora2–3
- Lat Vitória SC0–1
Sporting Clube de Braga
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 3 conceded
- Dat CD Santa Clara0–0
- Wvs GD Estoril Praia1–0
- Lat CF Estrela da Amadora1–2
- Wat FC Alverca2–1
- Wvs Vitória SC1–0
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 512
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.1%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.4%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
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GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense FC
Home
29%
Draw
30%
Away
42%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 35%BTTS: 41%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga
Rio Ave FC vs FC Famalicão
Home
17%
Draw
18%
Away
65%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 62%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.