Serie A · Matchweek 9

US Sassuolo Calcio vs SS Lazio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 27 Oct, 17:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

US Sassuolo Calcio win27%
Draw23%
SS Lazio win50%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Under 2.5 goals
39%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
39%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.84

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates US Sassuolo Calcio's home scoring output above the Serie A average. The model credits SS Lazio with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. SS Lazio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–17.9%
  • 0–27.3%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 1–35.8%
  • 1–05.6%

Team comparison

StatisticUS Sassuolo CalcioSS Lazio
Matches played55
Points per match1.402.60
Goals per match1.801.60
Goals conceded per match1.800.60
Home / away goals scored55
Home / away goals conceded31
Last 5 points713
Last 5 goals scored98
Last 5 goals conceded93
Win percentage40%80%

US Sassuolo Calcio recent form

LWDWL

SS Lazio recent form

WWWDW

Recent form

US Sassuolo Calcio

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat AC Monza1–2
  • Wvs Juventus3–2
  • Dat Bologna FC 19092–2
  • Wvs Torino FC2–1
  • Lat Atalanta BC1–2

SS Lazio

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wat Venezia FC2–0
  • Dvs AC Milan2–2
  • Wat Udinese Calcio2–1
  • Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
  • Wat Bologna FC 19091–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 6 October 2026
Last updated: 6 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.