Serie A · Matchweek 6

Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction

Sat 10 Oct, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Genoa CFC win30%

Draw23%

ACF Fiorentina win47%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 64%
Under 2.5 goals: 36%
BTTS yes: 64%

Over 1.5 goals: 84%
Over 3.5 goals: 42%
BTTS no: 36%
Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.85

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Genoa CFC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against ACF Fiorentina, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–19.9%
1–29.2%
2–17.1%
0–16.9%
2–26.6%
0–26.4%
1–35.7%
1–05.4%

Team comparison

Statistic	Genoa CFC	ACF Fiorentina
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.20	0.80
Goals per match	0.60	1.20
Goals conceded per match	2.00	2.40
Home / away goals scored	2	4
Home / away goals conceded	7	6
Last 5 points	1	4
Last 5 goals scored	3	6
Last 5 goals conceded	10	12
Win percentage	0%	20%

Genoa CFC recent form

LLLDL

ACF Fiorentina recent form

LLLWD

Recent form

Genoa CFC

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 10 conceded

Lat Parma Calcio 19131–2
Dvs Frosinone Calcio1–1
Lvs Como 19071–4
Lat SS Lazio0–1
Lvs SSC Napoli0–2

ACF Fiorentina

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 12 conceded

Dvs SSC Napoli1–1
Wat Venezia FC4–2
Lvs Torino FC1–2
Lvs Frosinone Calcio0–3
Lat AS Roma0–4

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.