Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 13
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 30 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Cagliari Calcio win16%
Draw23%
AC Milan win60%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS yes
- 45%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 72%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS no
- 55%
- Expected goals
- 0.79 – 1.76
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Cagliari Calcio have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. AC Milan have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AC Milan's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. AC Milan arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.7%
- 0–212.1%
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–07.8%
- 0–37.1%
- 1–06.2%
- 1–35.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Cagliari Calcio | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 1.45 | 2.18 |
| Goals per match | 0.91 | 2.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.36 | 1.18 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 64% |
Cagliari Calcio recent form
LLLLW
AC Milan recent form
WWLWW
Recent form
Cagliari Calcio
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded
- Wvs Frosinone Calcio1–0
- Lat SS Lazio1–2
- Lat AS Roma2–4
- Lvs Bologna FC 19090–2
- Lat AC Monza0–4
AC Milan
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat Genoa CFC2–1
- Wvs Inter Milan3–1
- Lvs Bologna FC 19092–4
- Wat Udinese Calcio2–0
- Wvs Atalanta BC3–2
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 30 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 9 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.