Serie A · Matchweek 12

Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 17:00 (GMT)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Parma Calcio 1913 win8%
Draw14%
AS Roma win78%
Predicted score
0–2
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
51%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
BTTS no
49%
Expected goals
0.80 – 2.71

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Parma Calcio 1913 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. AS Roma have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AS Roma's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–211.0%
  • 0–310.0%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–37.9%
  • 0–46.8%
  • 1–16.5%
  • 1–45.4%

Team comparison

StatisticParma Calcio 1913AS Roma
Matches played1111
Points per match0.732.45
Goals per match0.822.82
Goals conceded per match1.550.91
Home / away goals scored414
Home / away goals conceded85
Last 5 points413
Last 5 goals scored517
Last 5 goals conceded77
Win percentage18%73%

Parma Calcio 1913 recent form

LLDWL

AS Roma recent form

WDWWW

Recent form

Parma Calcio 1913

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Bologna FC 19091–2
  • Wat Atalanta BC3–0
  • Dvs Udinese Calcio0–0
  • Lat SS Lazio1–2
  • Lvs Torino FC0–3

AS Roma

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio3–0
  • Lat Manchester United FC2–3
  • Wat Udinese Calcio5–2
  • Wvs Cagliari Calcio4–2
  • Dat SSC Napoli3–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.