Serie A · Matchweek 7

ACF Fiorentina vs Como 1907 Prediction

Sun 18 Oct, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 7
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

ACF Fiorentina win18%

Draw20%

Como 1907 win63%

Predicted score: 1–2
Over 2.5 goals: 63%
Under 2.5 goals: 37%
BTTS yes: 58%

Over 1.5 goals: 84%
Over 3.5 goals: 41%
BTTS no: 42%
Expected goals: 1.07 – 2.19

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees ACF Fiorentina's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Como 1907 arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–29.9%
0–29.2%
1–19.0%
0–18.4%
1–37.2%
0–36.7%
2–25.3%
2–14.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	ACF Fiorentina	Como 1907
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	2.00
Goals per match	1.20	1.80
Goals conceded per match	2.40	1.20
Home / away goals scored	2	7
Home / away goals conceded	6	5
Last 5 points	4	10
Last 5 goals scored	6	9
Last 5 goals conceded	12	6
Win percentage	20%	60%

ACF Fiorentina recent form

LLLWD

Como 1907 recent form

DWWWL

Recent form

ACF Fiorentina

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 12 conceded

Dvs SSC Napoli1–1
Wat Venezia FC4–2
Lvs Torino FC1–2
Lvs Frosinone Calcio0–3
Lat AS Roma0–4

Como 1907

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

Lat Frosinone Calcio0–2
Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–1
Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
Wat Genoa CFC4–1
Wat SSC Napoli2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.