Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 7
ACF Fiorentina vs Como 1907 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
ACF Fiorentina win17%
Draw20%
Como 1907 win63%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS yes
- 57%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS no
- 43%
- Expected goals
- 1.03 – 2.16
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees ACF Fiorentina's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. The model credits Como 1907 with an above-average away defensive record. Como 1907 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.6%
- 1–19.2%
- 0–18.9%
- 1–37.1%
- 0–36.9%
- 2–25.1%
- 2–14.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | ACF Fiorentina | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.82 | 2.09 |
| Goals per match | 1.55 | 1.64 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.27 | 0.91 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 13 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 13 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 18% | 64% |
ACF Fiorentina recent form
LLDWD
Como 1907 recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
ACF Fiorentina
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Genoa CFC1–2
- Dvs SSC Napoli1–1
- Wat Venezia FC4–2
- Lvs Torino FC1–2
- Lvs Frosinone Calcio0–3
Como 1907
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Feyenoord Rotterdam2–3
- Dvs AS Roma0–0
- Lat Frosinone Calcio0–2
- Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–1
- Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
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Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.