Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 6
Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 12 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Atalanta BC win63%
Draw21%
Venezia FC win16%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 78%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 2.00 – 0.89
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Venezia FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.1%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.9%
- 3–07.4%
- 3–16.6%
- 0–05.6%
- 0–14.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Atalanta BC | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 1.27 | 0.55 |
| Goals per match | 1.55 | 0.73 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.82 | 1.91 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 36% | 18% |
Atalanta BC recent form
LDDLW
Venezia FC recent form
WLLLW
Recent form
Atalanta BC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Juventus0–2
- Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
- Lat AS Roma1–2
- Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
- Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
Venezia FC
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs SS Lazio0–2
- Lvs ACF Fiorentina2–4
- Lat Frosinone Calcio2–3
- Lat AC Milan0–2
- Lvs US Lecce0–2
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 21 September 2026
Last updated: 12 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.