Serie A · Matchweek 6

Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 12 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Atalanta BC win63%
Draw21%
Venezia FC win16%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
51%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
BTTS no
49%
Expected goals
2.00 – 0.90

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Venezia FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.0%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–19.9%
  • 3–07.3%
  • 3–16.6%
  • 0–05.5%
  • 0–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticAtalanta BCVenezia FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.200.00
Goals per match1.000.80
Goals conceded per match1.402.60
Home / away goals scored42
Home / away goals conceded35
Last 5 points60
Last 5 goals scored54
Last 5 goals conceded713
Win percentage40%0%

Atalanta BC recent form

WWLLL

Venezia FC recent form

LLLLL

Recent form

Atalanta BC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Juventus0–2
  • Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
  • Lat AS Roma1–2
  • Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1

Venezia FC

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 13 conceded

  • Lvs SS Lazio0–2
  • Lvs ACF Fiorentina2–4
  • Lat Frosinone Calcio2–3
  • Lat AC Milan0–2
  • Lvs US Lecce0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 21 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.