Serie A · Matchweek 8

Torino FC vs AC Monza Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 23 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Torino FC win37%
Draw24%
AC Monza win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
37%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.55

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Torino FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against AC Monza, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 2–26.4%
  • 0–25.6%
  • 2–05.4%

Team comparison

StatisticTorino FCAC Monza
Matches played55
Points per match0.800.80
Goals per match1.001.60
Goals conceded per match1.602.40
Home / away goals scored14
Home / away goals conceded48
Last 5 points44
Last 5 goals scored58
Last 5 goals conceded812
Win percentage20%20%

Torino FC recent form

LLWLD

AC Monza recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Torino FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dat Bologna FC 19091–1
  • Lvs AS Roma0–2
  • Wat ACF Fiorentina2–1
  • Lat US Sassuolo Calcio1–2
  • Lvs AC Milan1–2

AC Monza

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
  • Lat US Lecce2–3
  • Dat Parma Calcio 19131–1
  • Lvs Udinese Calcio2–3
  • Lat Inter Milan1–4

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 2 October 2026
Last updated: 2 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.