Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 6
US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
US Lecce win39%
Draw28%
Bologna FC 1909 win33%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 57%
- BTTS yes
- 49%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 69%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS no
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.26 – 1.13
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Bologna FC 1909 with an above-average away defensive record. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–110.3%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–07.3%
- 0–25.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | US Lecce | Bologna FC 1909 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.91 | 1.55 |
| Goals per match | 1.09 | 1.45 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.27 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 12 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 45% |
US Lecce recent form
WLLLD
Bologna FC 1909 recent form
LWWWW
Recent form
US Lecce
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat AC Milan0–3
- Wvs AC Monza3–2
- Lat Cagliari Calcio0–1
- Lvs AS Roma0–4
- Wat Venezia FC2–0
Bologna FC 1909
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded
- Dvs Torino FC1–1
- Lat SSC Napoli0–1
- Dvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
- Lat Atalanta BC0–1
- Lvs SS Lazio0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.