Serie A · Matchweek 6

US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

US Lecce win39%
Draw28%
Bologna FC 1909 win34%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.15

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Bologna FC 1909 with an above-average away defensive record. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 0–26.0%

Team comparison

StatisticUS LecceBologna FC 1909
Matches played55
Points per match1.200.40
Goals per match1.000.60
Goals conceded per match2.001.20
Home / away goals scored30
Home / away goals conceded62
Last 5 points62
Last 5 goals scored53
Last 5 goals conceded106
Win percentage40%0%

US Lecce recent form

WLLWL

Bologna FC 1909 recent form

LLDLD

Recent form

US Lecce

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat AC Milan0–3
  • Wvs AC Monza3–2
  • Lat Cagliari Calcio0–1
  • Lvs AS Roma0–4
  • Wat Venezia FC2–0

Bologna FC 1909

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Torino FC1–1
  • Lat SSC Napoli0–1
  • Dvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
  • Lat Atalanta BC0–1
  • Lvs SS Lazio0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.