Serie A
Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC
Home
63%
Draw
21%
Away
16%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 51%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 10
US Lecce vs Genoa CFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
US Lecce win38%
Draw26%
Genoa CFC win36%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 76%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 1.38 – 1.35
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
US Lecce have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 0–06.5%
- 2–06.2%
- 0–25.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | US Lecce | Genoa CFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 17% |
US Lecce recent form
LLWLL
Genoa CFC recent form
LLDLW
Recent form
US Lecce
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded
- Lvs Bologna FC 19091–2
- Lat AC Milan0–3
- Wvs AC Monza3–2
- Lat Cagliari Calcio0–1
- Lvs AS Roma0–4
Genoa CFC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs ACF Fiorentina2–1
- Lat Parma Calcio 19131–2
- Dvs Frosinone Calcio1–1
- Lvs Como 19071–4
- Lat SS Lazio0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 October 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 590
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.0%
- Exact score
- 10.8%
Related predictions
Serie A
AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio
Home
51%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
67%
Draw
22%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 44%BTTS: 39%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Frosinone Calcio vs US Lecce
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 53%BTTS: 49%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.