Serie A · Matchweek 9

AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 (GMT+0)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AS Roma win52%
Draw24%
Cagliari Calcio win24%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.10

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AS Roma have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Cagliari Calcio with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given AS Roma's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 0–16.6%
  • 1–26.2%
  • 0–06.0%
  • 3–15.6%

Team comparison

StatisticAS RomaCagliari Calcio
Matches played55
Points per match2.602.40
Goals per match2.801.00
Goals conceded per match0.600.40
Home / away goals scored84
Home / away goals conceded31
Last 5 points1312
Last 5 goals scored145
Last 5 goals conceded32
Win percentage80%80%

AS Roma recent form

WWWWD

Cagliari Calcio recent form

WLWWW

Recent form

AS Roma

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs Inter Milan2–2
  • Wat Torino FC2–0
  • Dat Fenerbahçe SK1–1
  • Wvs Atalanta BC2–1
  • Wat US Lecce4–0

Cagliari Calcio

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wat Udinese Calcio1–0
  • Wat Atalanta BC2–1
  • Wvs US Lecce1–0
  • Lvs Inter Milan0–1
  • Wat Parma Calcio 19131–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 6 October 2026
Last updated: 6 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.