Serie A
Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina
Home
30%
Draw
23%
Away
47%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 9
Frosinone Calcio vs US Lecce Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Thu 29 Oct, 17:30 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Frosinone Calcio win62%
Draw21%
US Lecce win17%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 78%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.96 – 0.90
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model expects fewer away goals given Frosinone Calcio's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Frosinone Calcio, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.2%
- 2–011.0%
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–07.2%
- 3–16.5%
- 0–05.7%
- 0–15.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Frosinone Calcio | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 40% |
Frosinone Calcio recent form
LWWDW
US Lecce recent form
WLLWL
Recent form
Frosinone Calcio
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Como 19072–0
- Dat Genoa CFC1–1
- Wvs Venezia FC3–2
- Wat ACF Fiorentina3–0
- Lvs Juventus0–1
US Lecce
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat AC Milan0–3
- Wvs AC Monza3–2
- Lat Cagliari Calcio0–1
- Lvs AS Roma0–4
- Wat Venezia FC2–0
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 October 2026
Last updated: 8 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 518
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.3%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.5%
- Exact score
- 11.2%
Related predictions
Serie A
Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC
Home
63%
Draw
21%
Away
16%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 51%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.