Serie A · Matchweek 9

AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction

Wed 28 Oct, 17:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 (GMT+0)
Kick-off (local): Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 (CET)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 9
Venue: Milan, Italy

United Matchday prediction

AC Milan win71%

Draw20%

Bologna FC 1909 win9%

Predicted score: 1–0
Over 2.5 goals: 44%
Under 2.5 goals: 56%
BTTS yes: 34%

Over 1.5 goals: 70%
Over 3.5 goals: 23%
BTTS no: 66%
Expected goals: 1.93 – 0.51

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AC Milan have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Bologna FC 1909 have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AC Milan's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour AC Milan, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

1–016.9%
2–016.3%
3–010.5%
0–08.8%
1–18.6%
2–18.3%
3–15.3%
4–05.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	AC Milan	Bologna FC 1909
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.20	0.40
Goals per match	2.00	0.60
Goals conceded per match	0.80	1.20
Home / away goals scored	5	0
Home / away goals conceded	0	2
Last 5 points	11	2
Last 5 goals scored	10	3
Last 5 goals conceded	4	6
Win percentage	60%	0%

AC Milan recent form

WWDDW

Bologna FC 1909 recent form

LLDLD

Recent form

AC Milan

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

Wvs US Lecce3–0
Dat SS Lazio2–2
Dat Juventus1–1
Wvs Venezia FC2–0
Wat Torino FC2–1

Bologna FC 1909

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

Dvs Torino FC1–1
Lat SSC Napoli0–1
Dvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
Lat Atalanta BC0–1
Lvs SS Lazio0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.