Serie A · Matchweek 2

US Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 31 Aug, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

US Lecce win30%
Draw23%
AS Roma win48%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
BTTS yes
63%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
BTTS no
37%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.81

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AS Roma have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AS Roma's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 2–17.1%
  • 0–26.7%
  • 2–26.4%
  • 1–05.7%
  • 1–35.6%

Team comparison

StatisticUS LecceAS Roma
Matches played55
Points per match1.202.60
Goals per match1.002.80
Goals conceded per match2.000.60
Home / away goals scored36
Home / away goals conceded60
Last 5 points613
Last 5 goals scored514
Last 5 goals conceded103
Win percentage40%80%

US Lecce recent form

WLLWL

AS Roma recent form

WWWWD

Recent form

US Lecce

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wat Venezia FC2–0
  • Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
  • Wat US Sassuolo Calcio3–2
  • Lvs Juventus0–1
  • Wat AC Pisa 19092–1

AS Roma

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs ACF Fiorentina4–0
  • Wat Hellas Verona FC2–0
  • Wvs SS Lazio2–0
  • Wat Parma Calcio 19133–2
  • Wvs ACF Fiorentina4–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 31 Aug, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 31 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.