Serie A · Matchweek 7

Udinese Calcio vs US Lecce Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 11:30 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Udinese Calcio win43%
Draw27%
US Lecce win30%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.08

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Udinese Calcio's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 1–26.9%
  • 0–25.1%

Team comparison

StatisticUdinese CalcioUS Lecce
Matches played1111
Points per match0.450.91
Goals per match1.091.09
Goals conceded per match2.272.00
Home / away goals scored47
Home / away goals conceded1410
Last 5 points14
Last 5 goals scored36
Last 5 goals conceded1210
Win percentage9%27%

Udinese Calcio recent form

LLDLL

US Lecce recent form

WLLLD

Recent form

Udinese Calcio

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lat Torino FC1–2
  • Lvs Cagliari Calcio0–1
  • Lat Inter Milan3–5
  • Lvs SS Lazio1–2
  • Wat AC Monza3–2

US Lecce

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lvs Bologna FC 19091–2
  • Lat AC Milan0–3
  • Wvs AC Monza3–2
  • Lat Cagliari Calcio0–1
  • Lvs AS Roma0–4

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.