Serie A · Matchweek 7

Udinese Calcio vs US Lecce Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 11:30 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Udinese Calcio win42%
Draw26%
US Lecce win32%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.18

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Udinese Calcio's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–07.7%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 0–25.3%

Team comparison

StatisticUdinese CalcioUS Lecce
Matches played55
Points per match0.801.20
Goals per match1.601.00
Goals conceded per match2.202.00
Home / away goals scored22
Home / away goals conceded44
Last 5 points46
Last 5 goals scored85
Last 5 goals conceded1110
Win percentage20%40%

Udinese Calcio recent form

DWLLL

US Lecce recent form

WLLWL

Recent form

Udinese Calcio

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Cagliari Calcio0–1
  • Lat Inter Milan3–5
  • Lvs SS Lazio1–2
  • Wat AC Monza3–2
  • Dvs Como 19071–1

US Lecce

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat AC Milan0–3
  • Wvs AC Monza3–2
  • Lat Cagliari Calcio0–1
  • Lvs AS Roma0–4
  • Wat Venezia FC2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.