Serie A
Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina
Home
30%
Draw
23%
Away
47%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 6
Cagliari Calcio vs Juventus Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Cagliari Calcio win36%
Draw28%
Juventus win36%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 60%
- BTTS yes
- 47%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 67%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 20%
- BTTS no
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.15 – 1.15
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Cagliari Calcio have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Cagliari Calcio's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–111.6%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–17.6%
- 0–26.7%
- 2–06.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Cagliari Calcio | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 1 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 80% | 60% |
Cagliari Calcio recent form
WLWWW
Juventus recent form
WWDLW
Recent form
Cagliari Calcio
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 2 conceded
- Wat Udinese Calcio1–0
- Wat Atalanta BC2–1
- Wvs US Lecce1–0
- Lvs Inter Milan0–1
- Wat Parma Calcio 19131–0
Juventus
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Atalanta BC2–0
- Lat US Sassuolo Calcio2–3
- Dvs AC Milan1–1
- Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–0
- Wat Frosinone Calcio1–0
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Serie A
US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
39%
Draw
28%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 49%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Udinese Calcio vs US Lecce
Home
42%
Draw
26%
Away
32%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
ACF Fiorentina vs Como 1907
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
63%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 63%BTTS: 58%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.