Serie A · Matchweek 1

Udinese Calcio vs Como 1907 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Udinese Calcio win15%
Draw24%
Como 1907 win61%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Under 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS yes
39%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
Over 3.5 goals
20%
BTTS no
61%
Expected goals
0.66 – 1.65

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Udinese Calcio have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Como 1907 have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Como 1907's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Como 1907 arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–116.3%
  • 0–213.5%
  • 1–110.8%
  • 0–09.9%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 0–37.4%
  • 1–06.5%
  • 1–34.9%

Team comparison

StatisticUdinese CalcioComo 1907
Matches played55
Points per match0.802.00
Goals per match1.601.80
Goals conceded per match2.201.20
Home / away goals scored27
Home / away goals conceded45
Last 5 points410
Last 5 goals scored89
Last 5 goals conceded116
Win percentage20%60%

Udinese Calcio recent form

DWLLL

Como 1907 recent form

DWWWL

Recent form

Udinese Calcio

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lat SSC Napoli0–1
  • Lvs US Cremonese0–1
  • Wat Cagliari Calcio2–0
  • Wvs Torino FC2–0
  • Dat SS Lazio3–3

Como 1907

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 1 conceded

  • Wat US Cremonese4–1
  • Wvs Parma Calcio 19131–0
  • Wat Hellas Verona FC1–0
  • Dvs SSC Napoli0–0
  • Wat Genoa CFC2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.