Serie A · Matchweek 8

Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 25 Oct, 19:45 (GMT+0)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Udinese Calcio win22%
Draw22%
AC Milan win56%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.92

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Udinese Calcio have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. AC Milan have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AC Milan's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 0–28.8%
  • 1–36.3%
  • 2–15.8%
  • 0–35.6%
  • 2–25.5%

Team comparison

StatisticUdinese CalcioAC Milan
Matches played55
Points per match0.802.20
Goals per match1.602.00
Goals conceded per match2.200.80
Home / away goals scored25
Home / away goals conceded44
Last 5 points411
Last 5 goals scored810
Last 5 goals conceded114
Win percentage20%60%

Udinese Calcio recent form

DWLLL

AC Milan recent form

WWDDW

Recent form

Udinese Calcio

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Cagliari Calcio0–1
  • Lat Inter Milan3–5
  • Lvs SS Lazio1–2
  • Wat AC Monza3–2
  • Dvs Como 19071–1

AC Milan

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs US Lecce3–0
  • Dat SS Lazio2–2
  • Dat Juventus1–1
  • Wvs Venezia FC2–0
  • Wat Torino FC2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.