Serie A
Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina
Home
30%
Draw
23%
Away
47%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 8
Inter Milan vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 25 Oct, 11:30 (GMT+0)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 25 Oct, 12:30 (CET)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- Milan, Italy
United Matchday prediction
Inter Milan win84%
Draw9%
ACF Fiorentina win7%
- Predicted score
- 4–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 93%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 7%
- BTTS yes
- 77%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 98%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 84%
- BTTS no
- 23%
- Expected goals
- 4.45 – 1.51
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Inter Milan, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. ACF Fiorentina have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Inter Milan, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 4–16.6%
- 3–15.9%
- 5–15.9%
- 4–25.0%
- 3–24.5%
- 5–24.5%
- 4–04.4%
- 6–14.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Inter Milan | ACF Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 15 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 80% | 20% |
Inter Milan recent form
WWWWD
ACF Fiorentina recent form
LLLWD
Recent form
Inter Milan
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 9 conceded
- Dat AS Roma2–2
- Wvs Udinese Calcio5–3
- Lat Real Madrid1–2
- Wvs SSC Napoli3–2
- Wat Cagliari Calcio1–0
ACF Fiorentina
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 12 conceded
- Dvs SSC Napoli1–1
- Wat Venezia FC4–2
- Lvs Torino FC1–2
- Lvs Frosinone Calcio0–3
- Lat AS Roma0–4
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 11:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 512
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.1%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.4%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
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Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC
Home
63%
Draw
21%
Away
16%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 51%
Low confidenceFull prediction
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ACF Fiorentina vs Como 1907
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 63%BTTS: 58%
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Torino FC vs AC Monza
Home
37%
Draw
24%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 59%BTTS: 61%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.