Ligue 1 · Matchweek 1

Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Toulouse FC win29%
Draw22%
Olympique Lyonnais win49%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.94

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Olympique Lyonnais's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Olympique Lyonnais arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.4%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 0–16.5%
  • 0–26.3%
  • 1–35.9%
  • 1–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticToulouse FCOlympique Lyonnais
Matches played55
Points per match1.002.20
Goals per match1.402.00
Goals conceded per match1.800.40
Home / away goals scored32
Home / away goals conceded50
Last 5 points511
Last 5 goals scored710
Last 5 goals conceded92
Win percentage20%60%

Toulouse FC recent form

LDLDW

Olympique Lyonnais recent form

WDWDW

Recent form

Toulouse FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

  • Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2–1
  • Wat RC Strasbourg Alsace2–1
  • Dvs AS Monaco FC2–2
  • Lat Racing Club de Lens2–3
  • Lvs Lille OSC0–4

Olympique Lyonnais

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Racing Club de Lens0–4
  • Lat Toulouse FC1–2
  • Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19014–2
  • Wvs AJ Auxerre3–2
  • Wat Paris Saint-Germain2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.