Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6
Racing Club de Lens vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Racing Club de Lens win28%
Draw25%
Olympique Lyonnais win47%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.15 – 1.57
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Racing Club de Lens's home scoring output above the Ligue 1 average. Olympique Lyonnais have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Olympique Lyonnais arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–28.1%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–16.8%
- 0–06.6%
- 2–25.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Racing Club de Lens | Olympique Lyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.30 | 1.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 50% |
Racing Club de Lens recent form
WWWLL
Olympique Lyonnais recent form
LWLWL
Recent form
Racing Club de Lens
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat AS Monaco FC1–2
- Dat Le Mans FC2–2
- Wat SK Slavia Praha3–2
- Lvs FC Lorient0–1
- Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–2
Olympique Lyonnais
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19014–0
- Dat Paris FC0–0
- Wvs AJ Auxerre3–1
- Dvs Le Havre AC1–1
- Wat Toulouse FC2–0
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 9 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.