Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6

Racing Club de Lens vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Racing Club de Lens win28%
Draw25%
Olympique Lyonnais win47%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
49%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.57

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Racing Club de Lens's home scoring output above the Ligue 1 average. Olympique Lyonnais have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Olympique Lyonnais arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–28.1%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 0–06.6%
  • 2–25.4%

Team comparison

StatisticRacing Club de LensOlympique Lyonnais
Matches played55
Points per match0.802.20
Goals per match1.802.00
Goals conceded per match1.800.40
Home / away goals scored52
Home / away goals conceded30
Last 5 points411
Last 5 goals scored910
Last 5 goals conceded92
Win percentage20%60%

Racing Club de Lens recent form

WLLDL

Olympique Lyonnais recent form

WDWDW

Recent form

Racing Club de Lens

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat AS Monaco FC1–2
  • Dat Le Mans FC2–2
  • Wat SK Slavia Praha3–2
  • Lvs FC Lorient0–1
  • Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–2

Olympique Lyonnais

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19014–0
  • Dat Paris FC0–0
  • Wvs AJ Auxerre3–1
  • Dvs Le Havre AC1–1
  • Wat Toulouse FC2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.