Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Racing Club de Lens win47%
Draw22%
Toulouse FC win31%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS yes
- 68%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS no
- 32%
- Expected goals
- 1.95 – 1.56
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Toulouse FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Racing Club de Lens, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–05.8%
- 3–15.8%
- 2–05.7%
- 0–14.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Racing Club de Lens | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Goals per match | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 30% |
Racing Club de Lens recent form
WWWLL
Toulouse FC recent form
DWDLW
Recent form
Racing Club de Lens
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 16 conceded
- Lvs Olympique de Marseille1–2
- Lvs Como 19071–9
- Lat Lille OSC0–1
- Wvs Paris FC2–1
- Lat Club Brugge KV0–3
Toulouse FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace3–1
- Lat Olympique de Marseille0–2
- Dvs ES Troyes AC0–0
- Wat Le Mans FC3–0
- Dat AS Monaco FC2–2
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.