Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 20 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
ES Troyes AC win39%
Draw25%
Le Havre AC win36%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS yes
- 59%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS no
- 41%
- Expected goals
- 1.50 – 1.44
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
ES Troyes AC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Le Havre AC, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.9%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–26.2%
- 2–06.0%
- 0–25.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | ES Troyes AC | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals per match | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.70 | 2.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 15 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 0% |
ES Troyes AC recent form
LLDWL
Le Havre AC recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
ES Troyes AC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain0–1
- Wvs Le Mans FC2–0
- Dat Toulouse FC0–0
- Lvs Racing Club de Lens1–3
- Lvs Olympique de Marseille0–2
Le Havre AC
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 15 conceded
- Lvs FC Lorient0–2
- Lvs Paris Saint-Germain1–5
- Lat Olympique de Marseille3–4
- Lvs AJ Auxerre1–3
- Lat Lille OSC0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 20 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.