Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12

Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 27 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Stade Brestois 29 win45%
Draw25%
Paris FC win31%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.28

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Stade Brestois 29's home scoring output above the Ligue 1 average. Paris FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 0–17.2%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 0–05.7%

Team comparison

StatisticStade Brestois 29Paris FC
Matches played1010
Points per match1.502.00
Goals per match1.801.70
Goals conceded per match1.201.00
Home / away goals scored105
Home / away goals conceded65
Last 5 points109
Last 5 goals scored119
Last 5 goals conceded47
Win percentage40%60%

Stade Brestois 29 recent form

WDLWW

Paris FC recent form

LWLWW

Recent form

Stade Brestois 29

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2–0
  • Wat FC Lorient2–0
  • Lvs OGC Nice1–2
  • Dat Lille OSC1–1
  • Wvs Angers SCO5–1

Paris FC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat AJ Auxerre1–0
  • Wvs AS Monaco FC3–1
  • Lat Racing Club de Lens1–2
  • Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19014–3
  • Lat FC Lorient0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 27 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 6 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.