Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6

Lille OSC vs Le Havre AC Prediction

Sat 10 Oct, 16:15

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 10 Oct, 16:15 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Lille OSC win65%

Draw19%

Le Havre AC win15%

Predicted score: 2–0
Over 2.5 goals: 60%
Under 2.5 goals: 40%
BTTS yes: 54%

Over 1.5 goals: 81%
Over 3.5 goals: 37%
BTTS no: 46%
Expected goals: 2.16 – 0.94

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Lille OSC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Lille OSC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–010.6%
2–19.9%
1–09.8%
1–19.2%
3–07.6%
3–17.1%
2–24.6%
0–04.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	Lille OSC	Le Havre AC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.00	0.40
Goals per match	1.60	0.80
Goals conceded per match	0.80	1.40
Home / away goals scored	4	3
Home / away goals conceded	2	4
Last 5 points	10	2
Last 5 goals scored	8	4
Last 5 goals conceded	4	7
Win percentage	60%	0%

Lille OSC recent form

WDWWL

Le Havre AC recent form

LDLDL

Recent form

Lille OSC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

Lat OGC Nice1–2
Wvs ES Troyes AC2–0
Lvs Real Betis Balompié2–3
Wat Toulouse FC1–0
Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2

Le Havre AC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

Lat Toulouse FC2–3
Dvs Angers SCO0–0
Lvs Stade Brestois 291–2
Dat Olympique Lyonnais1–1
Lvs AS Monaco FC0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.