Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs AJ Auxerre Prediction

Sun 11 Oct, 16:15

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 11 Oct, 16:15 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Stade Rennais FC 1901 win71%

Draw15%

AJ Auxerre win14%

Predicted score: 3–1
Over 2.5 goals: 82%
Under 2.5 goals: 18%
BTTS yes: 71%

Over 1.5 goals: 94%
Over 3.5 goals: 65%
BTTS no: 29%
Expected goals: 3.07 – 1.38

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against AJ Auxerre, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Stade Rennais FC 1901, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

3–17.8%
2–17.6%
4–16.0%
3–05.6%
2–05.5%
3–25.4%
2–25.3%
1–14.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	Stade Rennais FC 1901	AJ Auxerre
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.00	1.20
Goals per match	1.60	1.40
Goals conceded per match	1.80	2.40
Home / away goals scored	6	3
Home / away goals conceded	4	8
Last 5 points	10	6
Last 5 goals scored	8	7
Last 5 goals conceded	9	12
Win percentage	60%	40%

Stade Rennais FC 1901 recent form

DWWWL

AJ Auxerre recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

Stade Rennais FC 1901

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded

Lat Olympique Lyonnais0–4
Wvs Olympique de Marseille1–0
Wat Angers SCO2–1
Wvs Le Mans FC3–2
Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2

AJ Auxerre

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded

Wvs Stade Brestois 292–1
Wvs OGC Nice1–0
Lat Olympique Lyonnais1–3
Lvs Angers SCO1–3
Lat Racing Club de Lens2–5

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.