Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
Angers SCO vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Angers SCO win37%
Draw28%
Olympique de Marseille win35%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 58%
- BTTS yes
- 48%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 68%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 21%
- BTTS no
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.19 – 1.16
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Angers SCO's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. The model credits Olympique de Marseille with an above-average away defensive record. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–111.0%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–06.8%
- 0–26.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Angers SCO | Olympique de Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 0.90 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 1 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 14 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 60% |
Angers SCO recent form
LLDLL
Olympique de Marseille recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Angers SCO
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Stade Brestois 291–5
- Wvs ES Troyes AC2–0
- Dat Le Havre AC0–0
- Lvs Stade Rennais FC 19011–2
- Wat AJ Auxerre3–1
Olympique de Marseille
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat ES Troyes AC2–0
- Lvs Paris Saint-Germain1–2
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19010–1
- Lvs Paris FC2–3
- Lat AS Monaco FC0–2
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.