Ligue 1 · Matchweek 3

Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC Prediction

Thu 3 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Thu 3 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Toulouse FC win21%

Draw23%

Lille OSC win56%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 55%
Under 2.5 goals: 45%
BTTS yes: 55%

Over 1.5 goals: 78%
Over 3.5 goals: 33%
BTTS no: 45%
Expected goals: 1.04 – 1.85

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Toulouse FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. The model credits Lille OSC with an above-average away defensive record. Lille OSC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Lille OSC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

1–110.7%
0–110.3%
1–29.9%
0–29.5%
1–36.1%
0–35.9%
1–05.8%
2–15.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	Toulouse FC	Lille OSC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.00	2.00
Goals per match	1.40	1.60
Goals conceded per match	1.80	0.80
Home / away goals scored	3	4
Home / away goals conceded	5	2
Last 5 points	5	10
Last 5 goals scored	7	8
Last 5 goals conceded	9	4
Win percentage	20%	60%

Toulouse FC recent form

LDLDW

Lille OSC recent form

WDWWL

Recent form

Toulouse FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

Dat Stade Brestois 292–2
Lvs Olympique Lyonnais0–2
Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2–1
Wat RC Strasbourg Alsace2–1
Dvs AS Monaco FC2–2

Lille OSC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2
Wat Angers SCO2–0
Lvs AJ Auxerre0–2
Wat AS Monaco FC1–0
Dvs Le Havre AC1–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Thu 3 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.