Serie A · Matchweek 1

Torino FC vs AC Milan Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 23 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Torino FC win36%
Draw26%
AC Milan win37%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes
53%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
BTTS no
47%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.31

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 0–07.4%
  • 0–26.4%
  • 2–06.2%

Team comparison

StatisticTorino FCAC Milan
Matches played55
Points per match0.802.20
Goals per match1.002.00
Goals conceded per match1.600.80
Home / away goals scored15
Home / away goals conceded44
Last 5 points411
Last 5 goals scored510
Last 5 goals conceded84
Win percentage20%60%

Torino FC recent form

LLWLD

AC Milan recent form

WWDDW

Recent form

Torino FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dvs Juventus2–2
  • Lat Cagliari Calcio1–2
  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
  • Lat Udinese Calcio0–2
  • Dvs Inter Milan2–2

AC Milan

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
  • Wat Genoa CFC2–1
  • Lvs Atalanta BC2–3
  • Lat US Sassuolo Calcio0–2
  • Dvs Juventus0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 23 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.