Serie A · Matchweek 8

SSC Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SSC Napoli win15%
Draw20%
AS Roma win65%
Predicted score
0–2
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Under 2.5 goals
43%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
0.89 – 2.09

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits AS Roma with an above-average away defensive record. AS Roma carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. AS Roma arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–211.1%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 0–37.7%
  • 1–36.9%
  • 0–05.1%
  • 1–04.5%

Team comparison

StatisticSSC NapoliAS Roma
Matches played55
Points per match1.402.60
Goals per match1.402.80
Goals conceded per match1.200.60
Home / away goals scored26
Home / away goals conceded20
Last 5 points713
Last 5 goals scored714
Last 5 goals conceded63
Win percentage40%80%

SSC Napoli recent form

WLLWD

AS Roma recent form

WWWWD

Recent form

SSC Napoli

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
  • Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
  • Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
  • Lat Inter Milan2–3
  • Lvs Como 19071–2

AS Roma

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs Inter Milan2–2
  • Wat Torino FC2–0
  • Dat Fenerbahçe SK1–1
  • Wvs Atalanta BC2–1
  • Wat US Lecce4–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.