Serie A · Matchweek 8

SS Lazio vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction

Sat 24 Oct, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 24 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 8
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SS Lazio win66%

Draw20%

Parma Calcio 1913 win14%

Predicted score: 2–0
Over 2.5 goals: 53%
Under 2.5 goals: 47%
BTTS yes: 47%

Over 1.5 goals: 77%
Over 3.5 goals: 31%
BTTS no: 53%
Expected goals: 2.01 – 0.79

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SS Lazio's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour SS Lazio, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–012.2%
1–012.2%
2–19.7%
1–19.7%
3–08.2%
3–16.5%
0–06.0%
0–14.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	SS Lazio	Parma Calcio 1913
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.60	0.80
Goals per match	1.60	0.80
Goals conceded per match	0.60	1.40
Home / away goals scored	3	1
Home / away goals conceded	2	4
Last 5 points	13	4
Last 5 goals scored	8	4
Last 5 goals conceded	3	7
Win percentage	80%	20%

SS Lazio recent form

WWWDW

Parma Calcio 1913 recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

SS Lazio

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded

Wat Venezia FC2–0
Dvs AC Milan2–2
Wat Udinese Calcio2–1
Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
Wat Bologna FC 19091–0

Parma Calcio 1913

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

Wvs Genoa CFC2–1
Lat Como 19071–2
Dvs AC Monza1–1
Lat Juventus0–2
Lvs Cagliari Calcio0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.