Serie A · Matchweek 2

SS Lazio vs Genoa CFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 30 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SS Lazio win62%
Draw23%
Genoa CFC win14%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes
40%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
BTTS no
60%
Expected goals
1.71 – 0.67

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given SS Lazio's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour SS Lazio, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.7%
  • 2–013.5%
  • 1–110.6%
  • 0–09.2%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 3–07.7%
  • 0–16.2%
  • 3–15.2%

Team comparison

StatisticSS LazioGenoa CFC
Matches played55
Points per match2.600.20
Goals per match1.600.60
Goals conceded per match0.602.00
Home / away goals scored31
Home / away goals conceded23
Last 5 points131
Last 5 goals scored83
Last 5 goals conceded310
Win percentage80%0%

SS Lazio recent form

WWWDW

Genoa CFC recent form

LLLDL

Recent form

SS Lazio

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Bologna FC 19091–0
  • Wvs AC Pisa 19092–1
  • Lat AS Roma0–2
  • Lvs Inter Milan0–3
  • Wat US Cremonese2–1

Genoa CFC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lvs SSC Napoli0–2
  • Lat US Lecce0–1
  • Lvs AC Milan1–2
  • Dat ACF Fiorentina0–0
  • Dat Atalanta BC0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 30 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.