Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Dec, 14:30 (GMT)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Freiburg win62%
Draw18%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win19%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Under 2.5 goals
27%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
53%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
2.48 – 1.34

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SC Freiburg's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.1%
  • 3–17.5%
  • 1–17.3%
  • 2–06.8%
  • 2–26.0%
  • 3–05.6%
  • 1–05.5%
  • 3–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticSC FreiburgTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Matches played99
Points per match2.111.33
Goals per match2.221.78
Goals conceded per match1.111.89
Home / away goals scored145
Home / away goals conceded59
Last 5 points99
Last 5 goals scored89
Last 5 goals conceded77
Win percentage67%44%

SC Freiburg recent form

WLLWW

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim recent form

LWWLW

Recent form

SC Freiburg

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin2–0
  • Wat FC Augsburg2–1
  • Lvs Bayern Munich1–3
  • Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–2
  • Wvs FC Schalke 042–1

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs FC Schalke 042–1
  • Lat SV Werder Bremen0–2
  • Wvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–0
  • Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach2–1
  • Lvs Hamburger SV2–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.