Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 22 Nov, 16:30 (GMT)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SV Werder Bremen win65%
Draw18%
Hamburger SV win17%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Under 2.5 goals
28%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
51%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
2.48 – 1.23

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Hamburger SV arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.3%
  • 3–17.7%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 1–17.5%
  • 3–06.2%
  • 1–06.1%
  • 2–25.7%
  • 4–14.8%

Team comparison

StatisticSV Werder BremenHamburger SV
Matches played99
Points per match1.671.33
Goals per match1.891.11
Goals conceded per match1.672.22
Home / away goals scored104
Home / away goals conceded513
Last 5 points89
Last 5 goals scored98
Last 5 goals conceded77
Win percentage44%44%

SV Werder Bremen recent form

DDWWL

Hamburger SV recent form

WWLLW

Recent form

SV Werder Bremen

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat VfB Stuttgart0–1
  • Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim2–0
  • Wat 1. FSV Mainz 053–2
  • Dvs SC Paderborn 072–2
  • Dat Borussia Dortmund2–2

Hamburger SV

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach3–1
  • Lat Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
  • Lat SC Paderborn 070–1
  • Wvs VfB Stuttgart1–0
  • Wat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.