Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 (GMT)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Borussia Mönchengladbach win16%
Draw18%
Borussia Dortmund win67%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Under 2.5 goals
31%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
48%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
1.12 – 2.46

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Borussia Mönchengladbach's home attacking output as weaker than the Bundesliga baseline. The model credits Borussia Dortmund with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Borussia Dortmund arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–28.4%
  • 1–37.8%
  • 1–17.7%
  • 0–36.9%
  • 0–16.8%
  • 2–25.3%
  • 1–44.8%

Team comparison

StatisticBorussia MönchengladbachBorussia Dortmund
Matches played99
Points per match0.442.33
Goals per match1.331.78
Goals conceded per match2.780.78
Home / away goals scored76
Home / away goals conceded104
Last 5 points49
Last 5 goals scored67
Last 5 goals conceded95
Win percentage11%67%

Borussia Mönchengladbach recent form

LLWDL

Borussia Dortmund recent form

DDWDW

Recent form

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Hamburger SV1–3
  • Dvs SC Paderborn 070–0
  • Wat VfB Stuttgart3–2
  • Lvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
  • Lat 1. FC Köln1–2

Borussia Dortmund

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs SV 07 Elversberg2–1
  • Wvs Real Betis Balompié2–1
  • Dat Bayern Munich2–2
  • Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–0
  • Wat Sabah FK2–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.