Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 11
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 28 Nov, 14:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Hamburger SV win13%
Draw15%
Bayern Munich win71%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 65%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 57%
- BTTS no
- 35%
- Expected goals
- 1.18 – 2.83
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Hamburger SV have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Bayern Munich have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Bayern Munich's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.6%
- 1–38.1%
- 0–27.3%
- 0–36.9%
- 1–16.1%
- 1–45.7%
- 0–15.1%
- 2–25.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Hamburger SV | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.11 | 3.22 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.22 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 67% |
Hamburger SV recent form
WWLLW
Bayern Munich recent form
DWWDW
Recent form
Hamburger SV
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach3–1
- Lat Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
- Lat SC Paderborn 070–1
- Wvs VfB Stuttgart1–0
- Wat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
Bayern Munich
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat 1. FSV Mainz 052–1
- Wat Atlético Madrid2–0
- Dvs Borussia Dortmund2–2
- Wat SC Freiburg3–1
- Dvs Arsenal FC2–2
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Home
62%
Draw
19%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.