Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 11
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 29 Nov, 18:30 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 29 Nov, 19:30 (CET)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- Dortmund, Germany
United Matchday prediction
Borussia Dortmund win62%
Draw19%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win19%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS yes
- 65%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS no
- 35%
- Expected goals
- 2.36 – 1.27
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Bayer 04 Leverkusen carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.4%
- 1–17.9%
- 3–17.4%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–06.2%
- 2–26.0%
- 3–05.8%
- 1–25.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Borussia Dortmund | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.78 |
| Goals per match | 1.78 | 2.22 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.78 | 1.89 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 56% |
Borussia Dortmund recent form
DDWDW
Bayer 04 Leverkusen recent form
WWLLW
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs SV 07 Elversberg2–1
- Wvs Real Betis Balompié2–1
- Dat Bayern Munich2–2
- Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–0
- Wat Sabah FK2–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 12 conceded
- Wat 1. FC Köln2–1
- Lvs VfB Stuttgart2–4
- Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim0–3
- Wvs SC Freiburg2–1
- Wat 1. FSV Mainz 054–3
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 29 Nov, 18:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
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Draw
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Away
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Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.