Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 14:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
RB Leipzig win81%
Draw10%
1. FSV Mainz 05 win9%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 89%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 11%
- BTTS yes
- 73%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 97%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 76%
- BTTS no
- 27%
- Expected goals
- 3.86 – 1.35
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour RB Leipzig, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. 1. FSV Mainz 05 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour RB Leipzig, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.2%
- 4–16.9%
- 2–15.6%
- 5–15.4%
- 3–05.3%
- 4–05.1%
- 3–24.9%
- 4–24.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | RB Leipzig | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.11 |
| Goals per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.44 | 2.11 |
| Home / away goals scored | 23 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 18 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 33% |
RB Leipzig recent form
WLWWW
1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form
LWLLL
Recent form
RB Leipzig
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs FC Augsburg5–2
- Lvs Manchester City FC2–3
- Wat FC Schalke 042–0
- Wvs SV 07 Elversberg4–0
- Lat Real Madrid1–4
1. FSV Mainz 05
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs Bayern Munich1–2
- Lat SV 07 Elversberg1–4
- Lvs SV Werder Bremen2–3
- Wat FC Schalke 041–0
- Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–4
Team news
RB Leipzig
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Home
62%
Draw
19%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
75%
Draw
13%
Away
11%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 81%BTTS: 67%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.