Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 14:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win75%
Draw13%
Borussia Mönchengladbach win11%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 81%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 19%
- BTTS yes
- 67%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 93%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 63%
- BTTS no
- 33%
- Expected goals
- 3.13 – 1.20
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Bayer 04 Leverkusen, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–18.1%
- 2–17.8%
- 3–06.7%
- 2–06.5%
- 4–16.3%
- 4–05.3%
- 1–15.0%
- 3–24.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.78 | 0.44 |
| Goals per match | 2.22 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.89 | 2.78 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 15 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 11% |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen recent form
WWLLW
Borussia Mönchengladbach recent form
LLWDL
Recent form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 12 conceded
- Wat 1. FC Köln2–1
- Lvs VfB Stuttgart2–4
- Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim0–3
- Wvs SC Freiburg2–1
- Wat 1. FSV Mainz 054–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Hamburger SV1–3
- Dvs SC Paderborn 070–0
- Wat VfB Stuttgart3–2
- Lvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
- Lat 1. FC Köln1–2
Team news
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Home
62%
Draw
19%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
81%
Draw
10%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 89%BTTS: 73%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.