Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF
Home
62%
Draw
23%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 44%BTTS: 41%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 12
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 8 Nov, 15:15 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Real Sociedad de Fútbol win54%
Draw20%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win27%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 73%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 27%
- Expected goals
- 2.34 – 1.63
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, who have shipped goals above the Primera Division average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Real Sociedad de Fútbol, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.4%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–26.9%
- 3–16.6%
- 1–25.9%
- 3–25.4%
- 2–05.2%
- 1–04.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.63 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.88 | 2.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 33% |
Real Sociedad de Fútbol recent form
DWLWW
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form
LWLWD
Recent form
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs RC Deportivo La Coruña3–2
- Wat Valencia CF3–2
- Lvs Atlético Madrid0–3
- Wat Elche CF3–2
- Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded
- Dat CA Osasuna1–1
- Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
- Lat Real Madrid1–4
- Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander3–2
- Lat Barcelona2–5
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 694
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.6%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.6%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 57.8%
- Exact score
- 10.4%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche CF
Home
44%
Draw
23%
Away
33%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Atlético Madrid vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
73%
Draw
16%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Valencia CF vs Real Madrid
Home
15%
Draw
21%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 50%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.